But even I can see that the curves representing various smartphone platforms have different shapes:
This chart was derived from the one copied below, part of an exercise in which Dediu estimates from time to time the point at which smartphones in the U.S. -- a leading indicator of global smartphone use -- reach 90% saturation.
His current estimate: December 2016, three years from now. By then, 230 million Americans could be carrying smartphones.
On the road to smartphone saturation, according to Dediu, that puts the U.S. in the "late majority" stage. See below:
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RIM CEO Thorsten Heins: 'we have a clear shot at being number three' [THE VERGE]
"We have a clear shot at being the number three platform on the market. We're not just another open platform on the market, we are BlackBerry."
"It has all the table stakes we need to have for consumer [success]," Heins said. He pointed out that the unique features of MOREJP Mangalindan, Writer - Sep 26, 2012 6:30 AM ET
In a survey of 400 consumers, 65% said they expected their next phone to be an iPhone
FORTUNE -- In a note to clients issued Tuesday, Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster reported the results of his annual cell phone survey. The key takeaways:
Asked what phone they were going to buy next, 65% said an Apple (AAPL) iPhone, 19% said a Google (GOOG) Android, 6.5% said "not a smartphone," 6% said "I don't know," and MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Jul 17, 2012 8:49 AM ET
Tim Cook remembers Steve Jobs and looks to the future; have Mark Zuckerberg's worst fears become reality?
Apple CEO Tim Cook in the hot seat at D [ALL THINGS D]
Cook said that Jobs told him not to ask what Steve would have done. "He looked at me with those intense eyes that only he had and said, 'Just do what's right.' I'm doing that. Does that mean some things would be different? Of MOREJP Mangalindan, Writer - May 30, 2012 11:52 AM ET
The latest on Facebook's secret smartphone efforts; why the social network's co-founder Eduardo Saverin doesn't resent Mark Zuckerberg.
Facebook tries, tries again on a smartphone [THE NEW YORK TIMES]
The company has already hired more than half a dozen former Apple software and hardware engineers who worked on the iPhone, and one who worked on the iPad, the employees and those briefed on the plans said. This would be Facebook's third effort at building a smartphone, MOREJP Mangalindan, Writer - May 29, 2012 1:00 PM ET
Can the collapse of RIM, Nokia and LG be predicted down to the quarter?
FORTUNE -- Updating a chart he first posted last year (see here and here), Asymco's Horace Dediu on Monday tried to estimate how long three badly wounded veterans of the smartphone wars -- Research in Motion (RIMM), Nokia (NOK) and LG -- might survive.
He defines what he calls the "post-traumatic period" of a phone manufacturer's life as beginning with MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - May 29, 2012 10:58 AM ET
Blackberry and Android users are quicker to drop both their phone and their carrier
FORTUNE -- A new survey of smartphone users doesn't speak well for the quality of the cellular telephone service provided by U.S. carriers.
Roughly 40% of respondents said they experience at least five dropped calls a month, and 9 out of 10 said they'd be willing to switch carriers due to poor call quality.
But in this regard, not MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - May 3, 2012 11:00 AM ET
Its market cap today is $577 billion. Where do the next $400-plus billion come from?
In a note to clients issued early Tuesday, Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster raised his Q2 iPhone estimate (to 33 million), set a new 12-month price target ($910 per share) and -- most provocatively -- laid out a roadmap for Apple's (AAPL) market capitalization to go from $576.79 billion as of Monday's close to $1 trillion by MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 3, 2012 7:06 AM ET
But even at $600 a share, the company's stock price still seems out of whack
Apple's (AAPL) second fiscal quarter ends Saturday, and although the market spent Friday morning knocking the stuffing out of its share price (Apple fell back below $600 in mid-morning trading), Wall Street remains bullish on Tim Cook's company.
How do we know? We've watched the analysts' Q2 estimates for Apple climb more than 24% in the past MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Mar 30, 2012 11:40 AM ET
Just in time for this week's Mobile World Congress, a snapshot of where the money goes
To get a sense of what Apple's (AAPL) competitors are up against in Barcelona this week as they unveil their new mobile phone models for the 2012 season, consider the relative size of the solid color profit (and loss) bars in the chart above.
It's the money shot in a series of eye-opening graphs that the inimitable Horace MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 27, 2012 7:24 AM ET
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