Analysts have published estimates ranging from 2 to 4 million. What's your guess?
UPDATE: We have a winner. Apple announced Monday that the correct answer was "over four million," the guess of nearly 23% of our readers.
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When the iPhone 4 went on sale 16 months ago, Apple (AAPL) sold 1.7 million in the first weekend, counting pre-orders.
The analysts who have ventured a guess seem confident that by Sunday night, iPhone 4S sales will have smashed that record, but there's considerable disagreement by how much.
Here are the predictions we've seen:
What's your estimate?
An analyst sketches out the economic implications in two scenarios: One serious, one less so
RBC capital's Mike Abramsky was the first analyst out of the gate Friday with a note to clients assessing the effect on Apple (AAPL) of the explosion at Foxconn's Chengdu plant.
According to Abramsky, the plant is one of two primary manufacturing sites where the iPad 2 is produced, the other being Foxconn's original Shenzhen facility. His MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - May 20, 2011 2:55 PM ET
A dispatch from Barcelona sees trouble ahead for the iPad's competitors
RBC Capital's Mike Abramsky has coined a new acronym: NAAT! (Not Another Android Tablet!)
"The geyser of Android tablet launches continues," he writes in a note to clients from Day 2 of Mobile World Congress 2011 in Barcelona. He mentions, among others, the HTC (Flyer), ViewSonic (ViewPad 4), and Samsung Galaxy Tab 10.1. "Plus dozens of lower-end Android tablets pending from MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 16, 2011 10:51 AM ET
Apple's CEO, says one, is both the company's biggest asset and its biggest risk
The U.S. financial markets were closed, but a few analysts took a break from their Martin Luther King Day remembrances to say a few words about what Steve Jobs' latest health advisory might mean to Apple (AAPL) shareholders.
Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty saw it as a "buying oppty ahead of earnings."
Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster treated it as a MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Jan 17, 2011 2:13 PM ET
At least in the U.S., according to StatCounter. Worldwide, Nokia's Symbian still rules
When Apple (AAPL) introduced the iPhone, it awakened a sleeping giant in Canada, forcing Research in Motion (RIMM) to improve the experience of browsing the Web on a BlackBerry.
Those efforts have finally paid off. According to a report issued Wednesday by the Web analytics firm StatCounter, the BlackBerry OS has now overtaken Apple's iOS in terms of mobile MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 1, 2010 6:47 AM ET
Not as deep as it was five months ago, according to the latest ChangeWave survey
In a report to clients issued Tuesday, RBC Capital's Mike Abramsky trots out a new survey in which 13% of respondents said they'd be interested in buying an iPad -- more than the 9% who said they were keen on buying an iPhone three months before it was released.
Abramsky uses the results to support his earlier MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 23, 2010 1:35 PM ET
Apple shares suffered their sharpest fall in eight years Monday morning on the word of two analysts -- including one whose record predicting the company's performance is mixed at best.
By 10:30 a.m ET the stock had dropped 16%, wiping out more than $18 billion in the company's market capitalization in the space of 60 minutes. Apple closed at 105.26, down nearly 18%, its lowest level since May 2007.
The broader market also fell at MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Sep 29, 2008 1:22 PM ET