FORTUNE -- In a note to clients Monday, Jefferies' Peter Misek offered some intriguing numbers.
Based on checks with his network of Apple (AAPL) suppliers, he believes that the company plans to build iPhones at the rate of
and iPads at the rate of
A word of caution before you pour those numbers into a spreadsheet: Data points from individual suppliers are notoriously unreliable, as Tim Cook likes to remind analysts. And as we have seen, such estimates can go down as well as up.
One memorable case in point:
In Nov. 2011 DigiTimes reported that Apple had "slashed" orders for iPhone 4S parts 10% to 15% -- a report that generated a flurry of doomsday headlines (Uh-Oh: Apple Said To Cut Orders To Asia Suppliers On iPhone 4S Problems" from Business Insider's Henry Blodget) and persuaded many on Wall Street that Apple was headed for disappointing Christmas sales.
As it turned out, the company shipped a record 37 million iPhones that Christmas quarter, up 128% year over year.
This time it's Jefferies' Peter Misek, lowering his price target to $420 from $500
FORTUNE -- Not content to issue two negative reports on Apple (AAPL) in the space of two days last month (Apple is losing the screen-size war and Apple could face a rough two years), Jefferies' Peter Misak was back at it again Tuesday...
Cutting his fiscal Q2 iPhone estimate (to 35 million from 37.5 million)
Lowering his price target MORE
More bad news out of Barcelona from one of Apple's more bearish analysts
FORTUNE -- Following up on his Day 1 report out of this week's Mobile World Congress in Barcelona (see "Apple is losing the screen-size war"), Jefferies' Peter Misek posted a second note to clients Wednesday that offered four reasons that, as he puts it, "Apple is potentially facing a very rough two-year period":
Apple's capital expenditures are likely to double MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 27, 2013 10:47 AM ET
Jefferies' Apple specialist flew in from Asia with a sack full of predictions
FORTUNE -- There's a lot to digest in Peter Misek's note to clients Monday. Just back from a visit to some of Apple's (AAPL) Asian suppliers, Jefferies' managing director has a lot to say about the rate at which current products are being manufactured and what future products -- including the iPhone 6 -- are floating around in prototype MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 10, 2012 12:14 PM ET
After four years of speculation there's still not a shred of hard evidence
A lot of analysts talk about Apple's (AAPL) plans to make a television -- an actual TV set, not just a set-top box -- but last week, Jefferies' Peter Misek did something most have been careful not to do.
Citing "increased confidence" that Apple's iTV is coming, he wrote into his published forecasts the revenue from its sales: 2 million MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 17, 2012 4:30 PM ET
A giant solar array? An huge fuel cell facility? A second 500,000 sq. ft. data center?
I'm not sure I buy the main reason Jefferies' Peter Misek gave today for raising his Apple (AAPL) price target to $800 from $699: His "increased confidence" Apple is going to release the much-rumored iTV in the fourth quarter of 2012.
My own confidence that Apple is going to get into the television manufacturing business is MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 5, 2012 11:42 AM ET
Ups his Apple price target $100 to $699 and 2012 iPhone sales from 145 to 155 million
It sounds like Peter Misek, Jefferies & Company's senior Apple (AAPL) analyst, had a productive trip to Asia. In a note to clients Monday, he summarized what he found:
Signs that Apple may be preparing to begin commercial production of a full-fledged television -- which he calls iTV -- around May or June for a MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Mar 13, 2012 10:04 AM ET
Jefferies' Peter Misek takes a deep dive into the problem of acquiring quality content
Amid all the chatter this week about Apple's (AAPL) putative plans to build a standalone TV set -- from Best Buy's leaked customer survey to the Globe and Mail's report that Canadian telcoms are already testing the thing in their labs -- the 23-page report produced by Peter Misek's team at Jefferies International stands out.
Rather than get MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 7, 2012 11:29 AM ET
There's a lot more to the relationship than the rumors of an Apple-branded TV suggest
Credit AllThingsD's John Paczkowski for finding the most headline-worthy nugget in the report issued Tuesday by Jefferies analyst Peter Misek on his recent trip to Japan.
The thrust of Paczkowski's story -- Apple Television Could Be Ready for Commercial Production by Feb. 2012 -- was echoed Wednesday by more than a dozen writers who had only his brief item to rely on.
But MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 24, 2011 8:53 AM ET
According to one analyst, Apple legal didn't include iPad 2s in its Samsung complaint
"By March 2011, Apple sold more than 19 million iPads."
That's the language Apple's (AAPL) legal team used in the complaint filed Monday against Samsung. (See This is my next for the document.)
This caused some confusion among Apple watchers, because as of Dec. 25, 2010, Apple had sold a total of 14,789,000 iPads. The difference -- about 4.2 MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 20, 2011 11:57 AM ET
|China's fastest-growing cities for millionaires|
|Chrysler relents, agrees to recall 2.7 million Jeeps|
|Google files First Amendment court case against NSA surveillance secrecy|
|Meet the world's first Bitcoin baby|
|Immigration bill could cut deficits by $175 billion - CBO|