Likely to exceed the tech sector's average 1.2% dividend, driving share price up $100
The institutions that hold 70% of Apple's (AAPL) shares lobbied Steve Jobs for years to put some of his company's rapidly growing cash hoard in their hands.
Now that his successor is talking openly about the company's discussions to do just that, the sell-side analysts have started to calculate how big their share might be.
The latest to weigh in MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 16, 2012 12:06 PM ET
As of Wednesday morning Morgan Stanley's and Oppenheimer's were under water
Most sell-side Apple (AAPL) analysts are conservative in their earnings estimates but bullish in their price targets. According to Thomson/First Call, the Street high target this week is $700 and the median is a dollar short of $600. (The independent analysts are even more optimistic; the biggest number we've seen is Robert Paul Leitao's $790.)
But with Apple topping $525 in heavy MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 15, 2012 10:48 AM ET
Averaging the Q1 2012 estimates of the six analysts with the best track records
Whisper numbers, according to Wikipedia, emerge from widening cracks in the spreadsheets maintained by Wall Street analysts. Quoting an article by Daniel Svensson, the entry explains:
"When the estimate is first calculated by sell-side analysts, the number is submitted to companies such as First Call to be averaged with other analysts' estimates for the consensus earnings estimate. As MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Jan 23, 2012 6:19 AM ET
A proprietary survey finds demand for iPads and iPhones much stronger than expected
The results of an AlphaWise survey of U.S. consumers conducted for Morgan Stanley the week after Thanksgiving was full of surprises, reports Katy Huberty in a note to clients issued late Wednesday.
iPhones are selling surprisingly briskly. Based on the survey and last week's comments from AT&T (T), Huberty estimates that Apple (AAPL) could ship anywhere from 31 to MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 15, 2011 6:53 AM ET
PC sales were down 8% Thanksgiving week, but demand for the MacBook Air was strong
In a note to clients Thursday, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty rattled off several reasons to explain why retail sales of personal computers in the U.S. were down 8% year over year for the week of Nov. 20 to 26, as reported by the NPD Group.
Hard drive shortages, the lingering effects of flooding in Thailand
Price reductions in MORE
Katy Huberty weighs in on the question "Why is AAPL so cheap?"
"Market Significantly Underestimates Apple's C2012 Earnings Growth" reads the headline of Katy Huberty's contribution to a 45-page Morgan Stanley report to clients Wednesday summarizing what the bank expects to be the big "investor debates" of 2012.
Her headline is an understatement, judging from the text of her note on Apple (AAPL). "Several data points," she writes, "give us confidence that MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 7, 2011 12:53 PM ET
The key to future sales growth is signing up new cellular operators, especially in Asia
In a series of well-researched charts, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty has put her finger on the one factor -- all others being equal -- that really drives smartphone sales: The number of cell phone operators that sell the thing.
In a report issued to clients Sunday, Huberty shared the results of an analysis of 760 carriers in MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 21, 2011 8:12 AM ET
Chinese consumers rate Macs as most desirable, although only 7% can afford one
In August, according to IDC, China overtook the U.S. as the world's largest consumer of personal computers.
On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley issued the results of a survey suggesting that Apple (AAPL) is the best positioned of all PC manufacturers to capitalize on the boom.
Summarizing the results of a proprietary Alphawise survey of 1,553 consumers in 16 Chinese cities, Morgan MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 10, 2011 6:39 AM ET
A huge uptick in planned spending has analysts scratching their heads
Once a year in its Form 10-K Apple (AAPL) reveals to the SEC -- and to investors -- how much it has set aside in the year ahead for so-called CapEx -- capital expenditures on land, buildings, machinery, equipment and leasehold improvements (i.e. retail stores).
In that regard, the 10-K the company filed last week was a doozy:
The Company anticipates utilizing MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 3, 2011 11:37 AM ET
With Q4 earnings due next week, the pros and the bloggers are $3.9 billion apart
It has become, for the Street, an embarrassing quarterly tradition.
The Apple (AAPL) independent analysts -- a growing community of bloggers, private investors and assorted amateurs -- file estimates that look, by Wall Street's standards, outrageously optimistic.
But as the day of reckoning approaches -- in this case, Tuesday Oct. 18, when Apple is scheduled to announce its MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Oct 11, 2011 2:13 PM ET
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