Independent analysts take the top 8 spots in our quarterly earnings smackdown
FORTUNE -- Neither side scored a clear victory this time around. The professional analysts as a group were far too cautious. And our expanded cadre of independents showed signs of irrational exuberance.
But the list at right, which ranks 57 Apple (AAPL) analysts by the accuracy of their fiscal Q2 2012 revenue and earnings estimates, shows that the independents have MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 25, 2012 7:12 AM ET
What was their "bull case" price target in January became their "base case" in March
It must have been an embarrassment for Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty that her published 12-month price target for Apple (AAPL) -- set on January 25 -- was stuck at $515 while the actual share price zoomed past it and was setting new records almost every day. (Tuesday's close: $568.10.)
On Wednesday she did something about it. She MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Mar 14, 2012 4:49 AM ET
Likely to exceed the tech sector's average 1.2% dividend, driving share price up $100
The institutions that hold 70% of Apple's (AAPL) shares lobbied Steve Jobs for years to put some of his company's rapidly growing cash hoard in their hands.
Now that his successor is talking openly about the company's discussions to do just that, the sell-side analysts have started to calculate how big their share might be.
The latest to weigh in MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 16, 2012 12:06 PM ET
As of Wednesday morning Morgan Stanley's and Oppenheimer's were under water
Most sell-side Apple (AAPL) analysts are conservative in their earnings estimates but bullish in their price targets. According to Thomson/First Call, the Street high target this week is $700 and the median is a dollar short of $600. (The independent analysts are even more optimistic; the biggest number we've seen is Robert Paul Leitao's $790.)
But with Apple topping $525 in heavy MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 15, 2012 10:48 AM ET
Averaging the Q1 2012 estimates of the six analysts with the best track records
Whisper numbers, according to Wikipedia, emerge from widening cracks in the spreadsheets maintained by Wall Street analysts. Quoting an article by Daniel Svensson, the entry explains:
"When the estimate is first calculated by sell-side analysts, the number is submitted to companies such as First Call to be averaged with other analysts' estimates for the consensus earnings estimate. As MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Jan 23, 2012 6:19 AM ET
A proprietary survey finds demand for iPads and iPhones much stronger than expected
The results of an AlphaWise survey of U.S. consumers conducted for Morgan Stanley the week after Thanksgiving was full of surprises, reports Katy Huberty in a note to clients issued late Wednesday.
iPhones are selling surprisingly briskly. Based on the survey and last week's comments from AT&T (T), Huberty estimates that Apple (AAPL) could ship anywhere from 31 to MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 15, 2011 6:53 AM ET
PC sales were down 8% Thanksgiving week, but demand for the MacBook Air was strong
In a note to clients Thursday, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty rattled off several reasons to explain why retail sales of personal computers in the U.S. were down 8% year over year for the week of Nov. 20 to 26, as reported by the NPD Group.
Hard drive shortages, the lingering effects of flooding in Thailand
Price reductions in MORE
Katy Huberty weighs in on the question "Why is AAPL so cheap?"
"Market Significantly Underestimates Apple's C2012 Earnings Growth" reads the headline of Katy Huberty's contribution to a 45-page Morgan Stanley report to clients Wednesday summarizing what the bank expects to be the big "investor debates" of 2012.
Her headline is an understatement, judging from the text of her note on Apple (AAPL). "Several data points," she writes, "give us confidence that MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 7, 2011 12:53 PM ET
The key to future sales growth is signing up new cellular operators, especially in Asia
In a series of well-researched charts, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty has put her finger on the one factor -- all others being equal -- that really drives smartphone sales: The number of cell phone operators that sell the thing.
In a report issued to clients Sunday, Huberty shared the results of an analysis of 760 carriers in MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 21, 2011 8:12 AM ET
Chinese consumers rate Macs as most desirable, although only 7% can afford one
In August, according to IDC, China overtook the U.S. as the world's largest consumer of personal computers.
On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley issued the results of a survey suggesting that Apple (AAPL) is the best positioned of all PC manufacturers to capitalize on the boom.
Summarizing the results of a proprietary Alphawise survey of 1,553 consumers in 16 Chinese cities, Morgan MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 10, 2011 6:39 AM ET
|Obama wants to expand overtime pay|
|NJ agrees to ban Tesla direct sales|
|Inside the underground sex economy|
|Tesla lashes out at Chris Christie|
|Plug the financial leaks, now!|