Katy Huberty
Katy Huberty is back from China with Apple news
May 8, 2013: 10:10 AM ETMorgan Stanley's chief Apple watcher was visiting Hong Kong and Taiwan.
FORTUNE -- In a note to clients Wednesday, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty, just back from China, reports on "feedback" from Asian carriers and suppliers that she views as positive for Apple (AAPL).
She makes several points: (I quote)
- After a slow start, iPhone 5 is now on track to meet carrier volume expectations.
- iPhone 4 price cuts could stimulate incremental demand near-term.
- Carriers see the opportunity for Apple to expand market coverage with 5-inch and lower-priced iPhones over time.
- TD-LTE licenses, and related phone launches, are expected by year-end.
That last point may be particularly significant as it suggests that a contract with the last major Chinese iPhone holdout -- China Mobile (CHL), the world's largest carrier with more than 700 million subscribers -- could be signed before the end of the year.
Separately, Taiwan's DigiTimes reported Tuesday that China Mobile was expected to start an open-bid competition process as early as mid-May to procure equipment for 200,000 TD-LTE base stations for installation in 100 Chinese cities.
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Morgan Stanley adjusts its Apple numbers - up and down
Raises iPad estimate 11%, lowers iPhone 11%. Revenue and EPS are both dialed back.
FORTUNE -- Like many Wall Street analysts who follow Apple (AAPL), Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty likes to issue estimates for the current quarter the day after the company reports the previous quarter's results -- and then stick with those numbers for the next three months.
But on Thursday -- two weeks before the company is scheduled to report MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 11, 2013 8:31 AM ET -
Analyst meets with Apple CFO; expects 6% cash return-update
Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty thinks Apple should borrow to pay its shareholders
FORTUNE -- While Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn was lobbying shareholders Thursday to support his perpetual preferred stock idea (see Would you buy an iPref from this man?), Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty has been meeting with the Apple (AAPL) executive who rejected Einhorn's proposal last September: Chief financial officer Peter Oppenheimer.
In a note to clients Friday, Huberty reports that she MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 22, 2013 6:47 AM ET -
Analyst: A $330 iPhone could triple Apple's market in China
But can Apple make a cheap phone that isn't, in Tim Cook's words, "a crappy product"?
FORTUNE -- Adding to the growing literature of sell-side analysts who think the answer to Apple's (AAPL) market valuation woes (down 35% since September) is a low-cost iPhone, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty has looked at China, the world's largest smartphone market, and done the math.
She made several points in a note to clients Tuesday that MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 19, 2013 7:19 AM ET -
Wall Street is betting that Apple's earnings will shrink 4%
That's a dumb bet, says Katy Huberty, given 14% growth in the markets Apple serves
FORTUNE -- The chart at right, posted before Apple's (AAPL) shares lost another $12 (2.5%) Tuesday, comes out of Morgan Stanley's "What's in the Price?" stock analyzer. It suggests that at Monday's $480 a share, the market was pricing in long term earning growth for Apple of -4%.
Anything is possible, of course.
But in a note to MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 13, 2013 6:53 AM ET -
Apple's declining profitability: Structural or seasonal?
Morgan Stanley finds evidence that Apple's margins will improve before the end of 2013
FORTUNE -- Apple's (AAPL) quarterly gross margin -- the measure of how efficiently a company turns sales into profits -- peaked in March 2012 at an astonishing 47.4%, along with its quarterly stock performance (up 29%).
But what goes up must come down, and when Apple warned Wall Street that its margins were likely to fall -- to MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 4, 2013 6:48 AM ET -
Have Apple's iPhone and iPad saturated the U.S. market?
A new Morgan Stanley survey suggests there is still room to grow
FORTUNE -- "Despite concerns to the contrary," writes Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty reporting the results of a proprietary survey of 1,000 U.S. consumers, "iPhone and iPad demand remain strong. C4Q US iPhone purchase intentions beat our forecast. Stable 50% iPad share also surprised us, despite our modeled drop next year."
Among the key findings:
Strong iPhone 5 demand. Survey suggested 33% MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 17, 2012 12:15 PM ET -
Huberty: Apple could sell 13 million TV sets at $1,060 each
Survey finds Americans more keen to buy an "iTV" than they were the iPhone or iPad
FORTUNE -- Opinions about whether Apple (AAPL) is about to enter the TV set market are about as sharply divided as Fox News and MSNBC. You're either in the Gene Munster camp (It's coming, for sure, in 2013!) or in Jean-Louis Gassée's (It's a pipe dream!).
Whichever party you belong to, there's much to be gleaned MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 11, 2012 8:03 AM ET -
Morgan Stanley: Hedge funds treat Apple like junk
A high-quality, fast-growing mega cap company that gets no respect on the Street
Katy Huberty, Morgan Stanley's chief Apple (AAPL) analyst, issued an elaborate report Monday entitled AAPL: How Do You Do Risk Management? that I can't pretend to understand completely -- not even the title.
But two takeaways are clear: (I quote)
AAPL is the most widely held US company among hedge funds, with 26% of all large hedge funds holding positions MORE Philip Elmer-DeWitt - May 21, 2012 9:56 AM ET -
Apple Q2: Misses high and low, but the best bloggers nailed it
Independent analysts take the top 8 spots in our quarterly earnings smackdown
FORTUNE -- Neither side scored a clear victory this time around. The professional analysts as a group were far too cautious. And our expanded cadre of independents showed signs of irrational exuberance.
But the list at right, which ranks 57 Apple (AAPL) analysts by the accuracy of their fiscal Q2 2012 revenue and earnings estimates, shows that the independents have MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 25, 2012 7:12 AM ET
