Also mobile broadband will surpass wireline speeds in the next three years or so.
Kevin Lynch (Courtesy: Adobe.com)
If you think Gartner and IDC are bullish on Android, talk to Adobe (ADBE) CTO Kevin Lynch for a few minutes. In an interview on Monday, Lynch told Fortune that he believes that Android's growth will continue to blow past the industry and will make up 50% of the smartphone market within the next six months.
In the springtime, I think that's when we're going to see the crossover in terms of smartphone market share. Android is really going to have a majority. And some of the other phones, like iOS for example, from a market share perspective declining largely due to Android increasing.
You can look back at the PC revolution and I think we are in another revolution right now that is even more significant. There are more formats right now. There are more ways of interacting. There are more people involved. A billion more people are joining the Internet right now and over the next 3-5 years.
So we're going to see this huge shift in the way people use the Internet and that is a big opportunity for everybody too.
We are already seeing Apple's (AAPL) iOS and Blackberry (RIMM) losing market share to Android simply because they aren't growing fast enough to keep up. Lynch's Adobe team works deeply with the Android developers at Google (GOOG) so he's probably privy to information and forecasts that the public hasn't yet seen. His forecast gives Android two more quarters to go from 3% of the market in Q3 '09 to 26% now to 50% in Q2 11.
That's insane. He expects Android to go from nothing to a majority of the market in the period of a typical U.S. mobile phone contract. More
Every day, the Fortune staff spends hours poring over tech stories, posts, and reviews from all over the Web to keep tabs on the companies that matter. We've assembled the day's most newsworthy bits below.
Google engineering manager Paul Rademacher. Photo: Twitter
Paul Rademacher, maker of "the first true Web 2.0 application," is leaving Google. Rademacher, an engineering manager for Google Maps, made his name with HousingMaps.com, which mashed MORE
JP Mangalindan, Writer-Reporter - Nov 3, 2010 8:13 AM ET
Skyfire CEO Jeffrey Glueck explains how his newly approved browser works
The Skyfire browser, which has been downloaded more than 1.5 million times on Google (GOOG) Android devices, has just been approved as an application for Apple's (AAPL) App Store. It goes on sale at 9 a.m. EDT Thursday for $2.99.
The app gets around Apple's restrictions against Adobe (ADBE) Flash by converting Flash videos into an HTML5 format suitable for MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 2, 2010 1:57 PM ET
Every day, the Fortune staff spends hours poring over tech stories, posts, and reviews from all over the Web to keep tabs on the companies that matter. We've assembled the day's most newsworthy bits below.
Surprise, naysayers! Microsoft posted a record first quarter: $5.41 billion in earnings and $16.2 billion in revenue -- in particular, sales were up 25%. CFO Peter Klein said in a statement that it was an exceptional MORE
JP Mangalindan, Writer-Reporter - Oct 29, 2010 8:11 AM ET
Adobe says that their Flash Mobile app is not only faster than HTML5 but it also uses less power.
Adobe Blogger John Nack posts a video today comparing Flash 10.1 and HTML5 on the eight month old Nexus One and then compares it with the just-released iPod touch which runs the same processor as the iPhone 4. The original tests can be seen here (and I've run them and got similar MORE
Seth Weintraub - Sep 18, 2010 4:22 PM ET
Flash apps are already getting approved, but there's still no Flash in the mobile browser
Confusion reigned for much of Thursday following Apple's (AAPL) announcement that it was lifting its restrictions on development tools for iPhone apps.
Wall Street, assuming that this meant that Adobe (ADBE) has won its long-running Flash battle with Steve Jobs, drove the company's stock price sharply higher. Adobe closed the day at $32.86, up $3.55 (12.11%).
Developers, meanwhile, MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Sep 10, 2010 7:31 AM ET
Steve Jobs once called Flash the No. 1 reason his devices crash. What changed his mind?
With a terse, five-paragraph statement issued Thursday morning, Apple (AAPL) reversed a five-month-old policy that had sparked an industry-wide debate, a government probe and tens of thousands of words of heated commentary -- including Steve Jobs' own April 2010 "Thoughts on Flash."
The newly inoperative policy had prohibited software developers from using cross-platform tools when MORE
Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Sep 9, 2010 10:24 AM ET
Prices could drop to an absurd $10-$20 when these hit scale.
Android notification icons on upper right hand side.
Today, India's human resource development minister, Kapil Sibal, unveiled a $35 tablet computer that will run Linux. Although it wasn't specified, the device he displayed had the familiar notification icons of Android, seen to the right. Android, is a Linux OS built for smartphones and now tablets by Google under an Open MORE
Seth Weintraub - Jul 23, 2010 3:44 PM ET
Google stopped selling its Nexus One smartphone today, ending an era and leaving its Froyo OS in limbo.
Google Store: "That's all Folks!"
Google last week warned that it was getting its last shipment of Nexus One phones in and true to its word, the store has now stopped selling the Nexus One smartphone today.
The stoppage presents a particularly interesting problem for Google. They no longer sell a device that runs Android 2.2 MORE
Seth Weintraub - Jul 21, 2010 11:57 AM ET
After weeks of speculation, teasers and leaks, the day many Android aficionados have been antsy about has arrived: the unveiling of Verizon's Droid X and Droid 2.
Thanks to a recent "pre-review," we have a pretty good idea of what to expect in terms of features, at least as far the Motorola (MOT) Droid x, including a new 45 nm 1GHz TI OMAP processor that's almost double the raw speed of MORE
JP Mangalindan, Writer-Reporter - Jun 23, 2010 11:58 AM ETEvery morning, discover the companies, deals and trends in tech that are moving markets and making headlines. SUBSCRIBE
Receive Fortune's newsletter on all the deals that matter, from Wall Street to Sand Hill Road. SUBSCRIBE
Covering the digital giants of Silicon Valley and beyond, an in-depth look at enterprise companies, and the startups disrupting them. Written by Michal Lev-Ram and emailed twice weekly. SUBSCRIBE
Anne Fisher answers career-related questions and offers helpful advice for business professionals. SUBSCRIBE
| Company | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of America Corp... | 7.95 | -0.16 | -1.97% |
| Microsoft Corp | 31.27 | -0.17 | -0.54% |
| Ford Motor Co | 12.28 | -0.25 | -2.00% |
| General Electric Co | 19.39 | 0.17 | 0.88% |
| Citigroup Inc | 32.36 | -1.00 | -3.00% |
| Index | Last | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dow | 12,938.67 | -27.02 | -0.21% |
| Nasdaq | 2,933.17 | -15.40 | -0.52% |
| S&P 500 | 1,357.66 | -4.55 | -0.33% |
| Treasuries | 2.00 | -0.04 | -1.96% |
.
