ChangeWave: Galaxy S4 to spark a record Samsung surge

"Explosive" interest in buying Samsung smartphones approaches iPhone levels in U.S.

Click to enlarge.

FORTUNE -- As the Galaxy S4 rolls out in the U.S. this week, Samsung is likely to experience its fourth and biggest wave yet of smartphone buying, according to a proprietary ChangeWave poll of early-adopter types conducted between March 21 and April 2.

The results from the survey of 4,011 ChangeWave members, which we obtained Saturday, were released to subscribers two weeks ago. Of the 566 (14%) respondents who plan to buy a smartphone in the next 90 days, 153 (27%) said they expected to get one of Samsung's. Of those buyers, 81 (53%) planned to get the new Samsung S4.

Although interest in Apple's (AAPL) iPhone continues to "settle back," according to ChangeWave, from its peak after the September launch of the iPhone 5, Apple still leads all smartphone manufacturers in terms of North American demand. More than 225 (40%) of the respondents who planned to buy a smartphone in the next 90 days said they expected to get an iPhone (see chart below).

Note that the survey was taken before Apple's April 23 conference call in which CEO Tim Cook suggested that there may not be any new Apple products before September. It's not clear whether those potential iPhone buyers were still anticipating a new model in July.

Meanwhile, Apple continues to lead the field in customer satisfaction, with 70% of iPhone owners reporting that they are "very satisfied" with their phones. Samsung came in second at 54%. See chart.

ChangeWave is a division of 451 Research.

Posted in: Apple, ChangeWave, Galaxy S4, iPhone, Samsung

• Survey: Apple iPad's 'massive domination' of market persists

  The latest ChangeWave poll finds Samsung and Amazon stuck in single digits

  FORTUNE -- When ChangeWave polled 1,400 early adopter types in March, 86% of those planning to buy a tablet had their eye on Apple's (AAPL) iPad.

  The numbers are somewhat lower in a follow-up survey posted Tuesday under the headline Who Poses the Biggest Threat to Apple's iPad?

  Still, the answer seems to be none of the above. In a poll MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Jun 5, 2012 7:20 AM ET
  Posted in: Amazon Kindle, Apple, ChangeWave, iPad, Samsung, Samsung Galaxy Tab, Tablets

• ChangeWave: Demand for iPhone 4S still rising

  Six months after its release, 56% of future smartphone buyers say they're getting Apple's

  The 4,413 consumers polled in ChangeWave Research's March survey are not exactly a representative cross-section of the buying public. They're primarily American (87%) and almost all early-adopter types. But as ChangeWave members they do tend to indicate which way the technological wind is blowing.

  And according the bar chart above, it's blowing Apple's (AAPL) way. Despite growing competition MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 11, 2012 12:15 PM ET
  Posted in: Apple, ChangeWave, iPhone, iPhone 4S, Mobile, Motorola, Research in Motion, Samsung

• ChangeWave: 82% of new iPad owners are 'very satisfied'

  Apple's new tablet scored even higher than the old. Heat-gate was a nonissue.

  It's not often you can get 200 people to agree about anything, nevermind something as controversial as a new Apple (AAPL) product.

  But on several issues the new iPad owners surveyed last week by ChangeWave Research were practically unanimous.

  98% were either satisfied (16%) or very satisfied (82%) with their new toy
  What they liked best "by a landslide" (75%) was the MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Apr 2, 2012 6:56 AM ET
  Posted in: Antennagate, Apple, ChangeWave, ChangeWave Research, Heatgate, iPad, iPhone, Mobile, Satisfaction, Tablets

• ChangeWave survey: New iPad roils the business tablet market

  Planned sales of competing tablets were falling even before the new iPad was revealed

  This was supposed to be the year that Apple (AAPL) started losing market share in the rapidly growing tablet market.

  That may be happening among consumers, if you count the Amazon's (AMZN) Kindle Fire as a full-fledged tablet. But there's no sign of it happening in the enterprise.

  In fact, a ChangeWave survey of 1,604 business IT buyers conducted MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Mar 13, 2012 9:01 AM ET
  Posted in: Amazon, Apple, Business, ChangeWave, iPad, iPad 2, Kindle Fire, new iPad, Tablets

• ChangeWave survey: Demand for Kindle Fire slipping

  Chief complaints: lack of volume control or camera and that the battery life's too short

  They liked the price, the color screen and the selection of books on Amazon (AMZN). They wish it had a volume control button and a camera and that the battery lasted longer.

  Those are some of the results of a survey of 254 Kindle Fire owners conducted in January by ChangeWave Reserach, a service of 451 Research.

  54% MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Feb 2, 2012 6:02 AM ET
  Posted in: Amazon, Apple, ChangeWave, iPad, Jeff Bezos, Kindle Fire, Tablets

• ChangeWave survey finds 'explosive momentum' for Apple and Samsung

  Interest in the Galaxy Nexus is high, but the iPhone still leads in customer satisfaction

  The next few months should be very good for Apple (AAPL) and Samsung -- and not so good for HTC and Research in Motion (RIMM) -- according to the results of a survey of 4,000 North American early adopters posted Monday by ChangeWave Research.

  More than half of the respondents who plan to buy a smartphone in MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Jan 9, 2012 7:07 AM ET
  Posted in: Apple, BlackBerry, ChangeWave, Google, iPhone, Mobile, Nokia, Research in Motion, Samsung

• ChangeWave poll finds 96% of users satisfied with iPhone 4S

  Up from 93% with iPhone 4. What they like most: Siri. Least: Too short battery life.

  Despite widely publicized reports of unexplained battery drainage, the satisfaction ratings on Apple's (AAPL) latest iPhone continue to hover in what ChangeWave research director Paul Carton calls "nosebleed territory."

  In a survey of 215 new iPhone 4S owners, 77% declared themselves "very satisfied" and 19% "somewhat satisfied" with their new phones. Only 2% were "disappointed."

  Given the margin MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Dec 1, 2011 7:00 AM ET
  Posted in: Android, Apple, AT&T, BlackBerry, ChangeWave, Google, iPhone, Microsoft, Mobile, RIM, Satisfaction, Sprint, Verizon

• The island of misfit tablets

  What manufacturers are going to give Apple's iPad a run for the money?

  For reasons known only unto itself, the NPD group saw fit Tuesday to issue a press release reporting on U.S. sales of tablets excluding the market's 400-pound gorilla: Apple's (AAPL) iPad.

  "If you look at the tablet market without Apple there are a number of high-profile brands vying for that number two spot," said NPD vice president of industry analysis Stephen MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 22, 2011 2:01 PM ET
  Posted in: Amazon, Apple, ChangeWave, iPad, Kindle Fire, NPD Group, Samsung Galaxy Tab

• Survey: 26% of likely Fire buyers delaying iPad purchase

  Pent-up demand for the new Kindle is even stronger than for the iPad 2 

  In a note to clients issued Thursday, RBC's Mike Abramsky shares the results of a ChangeWave survey of 2,600 early adopter types. Two key findings:

  5% of those surveyed said they had pre-ordered or were very likely to buy Amazon's (AMZN) new Kindle Fire, exceeding the 4% who said they were very likely to buy the original iPad MORE

  Philip Elmer-DeWitt - Nov 9, 2011 8:38 AM ET
  Posted in: Amazon Kindle, Apple, ChangeWave, Fire, iPad, Kindle, RBC, Rodman & Renshaw