FORTUNE -- In the fable, the cottagers are too impatient to wait for the goose to lay its golden eggs one at a time. So they open it up, thinking that way they'll get all the gold at once.
"Here's the problem," he wrote last summer in The Innovator's Curse. "If a company produces a string of successes, the conventional wisdom is that the chances of another success are precisely zero. A company is valued based on its cash flows and foreseeable improvements to them. What it's not valued on is its innovation flows (and foreseeable improvements to them)."
The goose analogy came up again last week in an episode of the Cubed Podcast that brought together three of my favorite mobile industry analysts: Dediu, Benedict Evans and Ben Bajarin.
The problem with Apple's valuation, Bajarin said in Cubed Episode 010: The Process of Innovation, is that the Street thinks Steve Jobs was the goose that laid the Apple II, Mac, iPod, iPhone and iPad. And now he's dead.
Not so fast, said Evans. Like golden-egg laying, making innovative products is a process, one that Apple worked out three decades ago.
"Apple," he continues, "has always been about product fit and finish and the user experience and not going below a certain level of quality in order to hit price points where there's a market opportunity.
"In the days of the PC industry, the model didn't work because that wasn't how PCs were bought. They were predominantly bought by corporate buyers who wanted 500 with a certain number of features and at a certain price. The computers were going to go under the desk so the buyers didn't care what they looked like. They were never going to be reconfigured after they were bought, so the buyers didn't care what the user experience was.
"So Wintel had market share and Apple didn't.
"We've now come around to the smartphone and the tablet world. Products are bought in line with Apple's values, with the way that Apple tries to make products.
"So part of the reason Apple has been winning for the last 10 years say is that the market came around to where Apple was -- rather than Apple creating out of thin air some amazing product that nobody could have conceived of before."
That rang true to Dediu. Me too.
You can follow Dediu at Asymco.com and The Critical Path. Evans blogs at ben-evans.com. Bajarin is the director of consumer technologies at Creative Strategies and writes for Time.com. Their Twitter handles are @asymco, @benedictevans and @BenBajarin.
Even in the iPhone's slowest quarter, Apple grabbed 51% of Verizon's activations.
FORTUNE -- Apple (AAPL) got some good news Thursday from Verizon (VZ), the first of the big four U.S. carriers to report its Q3 2013 results.
Of the 7.6 million smartphones Verizon activated in the quarter, 3.9 million (51%) were iPhones. That's up from the same quarter last year, when the iPhone accounted for only 46% of 6.8 million.
Given that the third MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - Oct 17, 2013 3:15 PM ET
The market share vs. profit share debate rages on.
FORTUNE -- Android's Market Share Is Literally a Joke, John Kirk's provocative analysis of the smartphone wars, has caused quite a stir since it was posted Thursday on Tech.pinions.
"Scoring by market share alone and ignoring profit," he writes in one of several sports analogies, "is like saying that a baseball team won because it had more hits when the other team scored more runs."
Lines like MOREPhilip Elmer-DeWitt - May 25, 2013 8:04 AM ET
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