Apple 2.0

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How many iPhone 4S units did Apple sell this weekend?

October 15, 2011: 5:55 AM ET

Analysts have published estimates ranging from 2 to 4 million. What's your guess?

iPhone 4S queue in Covent Garden, London. Photo: Matthew Lloyd/Bloomberg

UPDATE: We have a winner. Apple announced Monday that the correct answer was "over four million," the guess of nearly 23% of our readers.

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When the iPhone 4 went on sale 16 months ago, Apple (AAPL) sold 1.7 million in the first weekend, counting pre-orders.

The analysts who have ventured a guess seem confident that by Sunday night, iPhone 4S sales will have smashed that record, but there's considerable disagreement by how much.

Here are the predictions we've seen:

  • Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster: 2.0 to 2.5 million
  • RBC Capital's Mike Abramsky: nearly 3 million
  • Yankee Group's Carl Howe: 4 million

What's your estimate?

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About This Author
Philip Elmer-Dewitt
Philip Elmer-DeWitt
Editor, Apple 2.0, Fortune

Philip Elmer-DeWitt has been following Apple since 1982, first for Time Magazine, and now on the Web for

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