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DigiTimes: Apple will ship 86.4 million iPhones this year

September 6, 2011: 8:12 AM ET

Up nearly 82% from 2010's 47.5 million, overtaking Nokia for the first time

Source: DigiTimes

DigiTimes, a Taipai-based daily that keeps as close tabs as any publication on the Asian supply chain, posted its estimates Tuesday for where it thinks the top 10 smartphone manufacturers will be at year's end.

Although Apple (AAPL) will have shipped the most units -- 86.4 million, up 81.9% from 2010 -- according to DigiTimes analyst Luke Lin, it's being outpaced by the small army of companies competing in the market for Google (GOOG) Android phones. Among the fastest-growing manufacturers: Samsung (up 191.3%), LGE (250%), Huawei (484.4%), ZTE (330.3%) and, swiftest of all, Others (532%).

The biggest loser in the DigiTimes chart is Nokia (NOK), which sold twice as many smartphones in 2010 as Apple but was overtaken in 2011. By the end of the year, according to Lin, Nokia's smartphone shipments will have fallen from 100.3 million to 74.4 million, down 25.8%.

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Philip Elmer-Dewitt
Philip Elmer-DeWitt
Editor, Apple 2.0, Fortune

Philip Elmer-DeWitt has been following Apple since 1982, first for Time Magazine, and now on the Web for Fortune.com.

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