Apple 2.0

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Apple's $1.2 billion tablet computer

August 7, 2009: 8:21 AM ET
Apple's tablet computer? Photo: Piper Jaffray

Apple's next gadget? Image: Piper Jaffray

Piper Jaffray senior analyst Gene Munster took another crack at the Apple (AAPL) tablet computer he's been writing about for months, issuing a report to clients Friday that included some back-of-the-envelope sales estimates and a computer-generated rendering of what he thinks it will look like.

"Last week we spoke with an Asian component supplier that has received orders from Apple for a touch-screen device to be fulfilled by late [calendar year] 09," he writes. "This data point underscores our thesis that a tablet will likely launch in early [2010]."

The device, as he sees it, will...

  • Be similar to an iPod touch, only larger, capable of running most of the 70,000 applications on the iPhone App Store plus a new category of apps designed for the bigger screen.
  • Will be used primarily for Web surfing, e-mail, and digital media, competing with netbooks without being a netbook.
  • Will be priced between an iPhone and a MacBook -- between $500 and $700.
  • Is likely to include a 3G cellular modem and could be subsidized by a carrier -- either AT&T (T) or Verizon (VZ).
  • Will sell better than Apple TV did its first year (1.2 million units).
  • Could in fact sell 2 million units at $600 each to generate $1.2 billion and add about 3% to Apple's revenue stream in calendar 2010.

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About This Author
Philip Elmer-Dewitt
Philip Elmer-Dewitt
Editor, Apple 2.0, Fortune

Philip Elmer-DeWitt has been following Apple since 1982, first for Time Magazine, and now on the Web for Fortune.com.

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